Rashee RiceorStefon Diggs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Stefon Diggs in 66% of simulations.
Stefon Diggs still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Rashee Rice is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rashee Rice projects 3.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Rashee Rice faces the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs), Stefon Diggs faces the New York Giants (3% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 16.7 | 12.5 |
| Standard projection | 10.5 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR24 |
| Matchup | at ATL | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.7 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 15.5 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 61% |
| Trade value | 34 | 8 |