Rashee RiceorStefon Diggs?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Stefon Diggs in 57% of simulations.
Stefon Diggs still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Rashee Rice is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rashee Rice projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Stefon Diggs has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Rashee Rice faces the Las Vegas Raiders (2% fewer than average to WRs). Rashee Rice still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.1 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | WR14 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 12.7 |
| Last season per game | 15.5 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 59% |
| Trade value | 30 | 15 |