Rashee RiceorTrey McBride?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Rashee Rice in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rashee Rice comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Trey McBride projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rashee Rice has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (2% fewer than average to WRs); Trey McBride faces the New York Giants (15% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (15+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.1 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 17.1 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | TE2 |
| Matchup | at LV | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 15.5 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 91% |
| Trade value | 30 | 38 |