Woody MarksorZach Charbonnet?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet outscores Woody Marks in 62% of simulations.
Woody Marks still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Zach Charbonnet is the better bet, not a sure thing. Zach Charbonnet projects 2.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Zach Charbonnet has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs); Woody Marks faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB34 | RB21 |
| Matchup | at CLE | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.3 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 66% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |