Xavier HutchinsonorXavier Worthy?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy outscores Xavier Hutchinson in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Xavier Hutchinson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Xavier Worthy projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Xavier Hutchinson has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); Xavier Worthy faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Xavier Worthy still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Xavier Hutchinson
Floor
1.5
Median
4.9
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
60%
Xavier Worthy
Floor
2.1
Median
5.5
Ceiling
11.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
56%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatXavier HutchinsonWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ETXavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.06.2
PPR projection7.47.8
Standard projection4.64.7
Rank this weekWR43WR41
Matchupat JAXvs LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.36.6
Last season per game5.06.4
Snap share, last game41%75%
Trade value——