Amon-Ra St. BrownorBrock Bowers?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Brock Bowers in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (11% fewer than average to WRs), Brock Bowers faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.9
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 26.0
- Big game (15+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 5):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.3 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 17.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.9 | 11.6 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | TE1 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 17.2 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 12.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 86% |
| Trade value | 52 | 43 |