Amon-Ra St. BrownorJosh Jacobs?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Josh Jacobs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 14.3 half-PPR points in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Jacobs faces the New England Patriots (16% fewer than average to RBs), Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (11% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the pick at 55%; in Standard leagues, Josh Jacobs wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 10.9 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | RB9 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 18.9 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 71% |
| Trade value | 52 | 43 |