Derrick HenryorJa'Marr Chase?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Derrick Henry in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Derrick Henry comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Ja'Marr Chase, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ja'Marr Chase projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Ja'Marr Chase faces the Tennessee Titans (14% more than average to WRs), Derrick Henry faces the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ja'Marr Chase wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Derrick Henry is the pick at 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 14.5
- Ceiling
- 29.9
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 15.4
- Ceiling
- 30.3
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.4 | 17.1 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 20.8 |
| Standard projection | 15.8 | 13.4 |
| Rank this week | RB5 | WR4 |
| Matchup | at BUF | vs TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.8 | 13.5 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 87% |
| Trade value | 36 | 55 |