Christian WatsonorKyren Williams?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Christian Watson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Christian Watson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kyren Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyren Williams projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Kyren Williams faces the Philadelphia Eagles (average to RBs), Christian Watson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 7.7
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.0 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 16.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 13.7 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | RB9 |
| Matchup | at TB | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.3 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 71% |
| Trade value | 43 | 40 |