Amon-Ra St. BrownorKyren Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kyren Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Kyren Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs), Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the New England Patriots (10% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the pick at 55%; in Standard leagues, Kyren Williams wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 19.7 | 16.8 |
| Standard projection | 11.9 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | RB8 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.9 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 64% |
| Trade value | 52 | 38 |