Braelon AllenorKyle Monangai?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen outscores Kyle Monangai in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Monangai comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Monangai projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Braelon Allen faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs), Kyle Monangai faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Kyle Monangai is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Braelon Allen
Floor
2.7
Median
7.7
Ceiling
16.8
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
36%
Kyle Monangai
Floor
0.6
Median
7.6
Ceiling
19.5
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
40%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBraelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETKyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.09.1
PPR projection9.79.6
Standard projection8.28.7
Rank this weekRB28RB26
Matchupat KCvs TB
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game11.414.2
Last season per game3.68.1
Snap share, last game83%54%
Trade value—9