Breece HallorStefon Diggs?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Breece Hall in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Breece Hall comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Stefon Diggs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.0 half-PPR points in Week 4. Stefon Diggs has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Breece Hall faces the Chicago Bears (2% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Breece Hall is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | RB15 | WR14 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 12.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 59% |
| Trade value | 18 | 15 |