Breece HallorTetairoa McMillan?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Start Breece Hall

Breece Hall outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 59% of simulations.

Tetairoa McMillan still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Breece Hall is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Breece Hall in Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan in Week 9. Breece Hall projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Breece Hall has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Tetairoa McMillan faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Breece Hall wins 65%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Breece Hall
Floor
4.5
Median
11.0
Ceiling
22.3
Big game (20+):
14%
Dud (under 6):
18%
Tetairoa McMillan
Floor
2.8
Median
8.9
Ceiling
20.2
Big game (20+):
10%
Dud (under 6):
31%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBreece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETTetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.610.5
PPR projection14.112.9
Standard projection11.28.1
Rank this weekRB15Not ranked
Matchupvs LVvs DEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.512.6
Last season per game11.910.5
Snap share, last game48%89%
Trade value1419