Bucky IrvingorStefon Diggs?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Stefon Diggs in 56% of simulations.
Stefon Diggs still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bucky Irving is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bucky Irving projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Bucky Irving faces the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs), Stefon Diggs faces the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Bucky Irving wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 10.7 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 12.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 59% |
| Trade value | 17 | 15 |