Bucky IrvingorChris Olave?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Chris Olave in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Olave comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Bucky Irving, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 13.2 half-PPR points in Week 6. Chris Olave has the better matchup against the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs); Bucky Irving faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% fewer than average to RBs). Bucky Irving still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Olave is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, Bucky Irving wins 58%. Chris Olave is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 13.2 |
| PPR projection | 14.5 | 16.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.9 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | WR9 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at NYG |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 13.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 91% |
| Trade value | 32 | 38 |