CeeDee LamborJonathan Taylor?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.

Our call

Lean Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor outscores CeeDee Lamb in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: CeeDee Lamb comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jonathan Taylor, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonathan Taylor projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. CeeDee Lamb has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (3% more than average to WRs); Jonathan Taylor faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (22% fewer than average to RBs). Jonathan Taylor still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, CeeDee Lamb is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, Jonathan Taylor wins 59%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

CeeDee Lamb
Floor
6.4
Median
14.4
Ceiling
28.1
Big game (20+):
27%
Dud (under 6):
9%
Jonathan Taylor
Floor
5.9
Median
14.5
Ceiling
28.7
Big game (20+):
29%
Dud (under 6):
10%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETJonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.016.2
PPR projection19.517.3
Standard projection12.615.2
Rank this weekWR5RB7
Matchupvs ARIat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.418.4
Last season per game12.620.0
Snap share, last game81%67%
Trade value4963