CeeDee LamborKenneth Walker III?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores CeeDee Lamb in 57% of simulations.
CeeDee Lamb still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Kenneth Walker III has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs); CeeDee Lamb faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Kenneth Walker III wins 51%; in Standard leagues, Kenneth Walker III wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 32.4
- Big game (20+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 18.4 |
| PPR projection | 19.2 | 19.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.4 | 17.0 |
| Rank this week | WR5 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 22.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 65% |
| Trade value | 55 | 71 |