Chris OlaveorJaylen Warren?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Jaylen Warren in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Warren comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Warren projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Chris Olave has the better matchup against the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Warren faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Olave wins 57%; in Standard leagues, Jaylen Warren is the pick at 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 14.7 |
| PPR projection | 18.2 | 16.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 13.1 |
| Rank this week | WR6 | RB7 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.8 | 16.7 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 12.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 87% |
| Trade value | 39 | 46 |