Christian WatsonorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Tony Pollard in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tony Pollard comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Christian Watson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Christian Watson projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Christian Watson faces the Minnesota Vikings (23% fewer than average to WRs), Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.9 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 10.7 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | RB12 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.9 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 82% |
| Trade value | 44 | 39 |