Dallas GoedertorPat Freiermuth?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert outscores Pat Freiermuth in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Pat Freiermuth comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Dallas Goedert, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dallas Goedert projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Dallas Goedert faces the Carolina Panthers (12% more than average to TEs), Pat Freiermuth faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (19% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (15+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 5):
- 23%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Pat FreiermuthTE, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.6 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.7 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 8.5 | 7.7 |
| Rank this week | TE5 | TE8 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 6.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 68% |
| Trade value | 8 | — |