D'Andre SwiftorDeVonta Smith?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores DeVonta Smith in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. D'Andre Swift projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); D'Andre Swift faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to RBs). D'Andre Swift still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.5 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | WR12 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.8 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 66% |
| Trade value | 36 | 16 |