Davante AdamsorKenneth Walker III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Davante Adams
Davante Adams outscores Kenneth Walker III in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenneth Walker III comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Davante Adams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 15.2 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Davante Adams faces the Philadelphia Eagles (7% fewer than average to WRs), Kenneth Walker III faces the Las Vegas Raiders (1% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Kenneth Walker III is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 27.2
- Big game (20+):
- 26%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 6.2
- Median
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Davante AdamsWR, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.2 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 16.4 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | WR5 | RB8 |
| Matchup | at PHI | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.9 | 24.6 |
| Last season per game | 13.8 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 73% |
| Trade value | 50 | 42 |