Denzel BostonorMichael Wilson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston outscores Michael Wilson in 57% of simulations.
Michael Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Denzel Boston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Denzel Boston projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Denzel Boston faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% more than average to WRs), Michael Wilson faces the New York Giants (11% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Denzel Boston wins 63%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 23.2
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 11.6 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR15 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.7 | 10.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 93% |
| Trade value | 24 | 15 |