Derrick HenryorRashee Rice?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Derrick Henry in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Derrick Henry comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Rashee Rice, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rashee Rice projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rashee Rice has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs); Derrick Henry faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Rashee Rice wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Derrick Henry is the pick at 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.8 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | WR9 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 58% |
| Trade value | 32 | 36 |