Jaylen WarrenorNico Collins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores Jaylen Warren in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Warren comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Nico Collins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 14.7 half-PPR points in Week 6. Nico Collins has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Warren faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.7 | 14.7 |
| PPR projection | 16.2 | 17.4 |
| Standard projection | 13.1 | 12.0 |
| Rank this week | RB7 | WR5 |
| Matchup | at TB | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.7 | 17.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 71% |
| Trade value | 46 | 39 |