Deshaun WatsonorJared Goff?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jared Goff
Jared Goff outscores Deshaun Watson in 65% of simulations.
Deshaun Watson still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Jared Goff is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jared Goff projects 4.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jared Goff faces the New England Patriots (2% fewer than average to QBs), Deshaun Watson faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 48%
- Floor
- 8.4
- Median
- 15.7
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jared GoffQB, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.2 | 16.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 16.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 16.6 |
| Rank this week | QB22 | QB12 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs NE |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 18.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 17.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |