Deshaun WatsonorJayden Daniels?

Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels outscores Deshaun Watson in 72% of simulations.

Deshaun Watson still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Jayden Daniels is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jayden Daniels projects 5.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jayden Daniels faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to QBs), Deshaun Watson faces the New Orleans Saints (6% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Deshaun Watson
Floor
0.0
Median
12.4
Ceiling
19.8
Big game (25+):
2%
Dud (under 12):
47%
Jayden Daniels
Floor
9.7
Median
16.7
Ceiling
26.7
Big game (25+):
14%
Dud (under 12):
21%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDeshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETJayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.317.7
PPR projection12.317.7
Standard projection12.317.7
Rank this weekQB22QB9
Matchupat NOvs LAR
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game14.820.1
Last season per game—16.3
Snap share, last game94%100%
Trade value—8