DJ MooreorMichael Wilson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores DJ Moore in 60% of simulations.
DJ Moore still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Michael Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Wilson projects 2.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (21% fewer than average to WRs), DJ Moore faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 16.0
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR19 |
| Matchup | at MIN | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.0 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 66% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | 17 |