Garrett WilsonorGeorge Kittle?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores George Kittle in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: George Kittle comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Garrett Wilson has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (11% more than average to WRs); George Kittle faces the Denver Broncos (3% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 25.9
- Big game (15+):
- 37%
- Dud (under 5):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.7 | 13.7 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 16.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.4 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | TE1 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.6 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 85% |
| Trade value | 32 | 28 |