George KittleorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tetairoa McMillan comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean George Kittle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. George Kittle projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. George Kittle has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (43% more than average to TEs); Tetairoa McMillan faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (15+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 5):
- 13%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | George KittleTE, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 13.3 |
| PPR projection | 16.7 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | WR8 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.3 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 89% |
| Trade value | 23 | 36 |