Jacory Croskey-MerrittorRico Dowdle?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rico Dowdle
Rico Dowdle outscores Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacory Croskey-Merritt comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Rico Dowdle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rico Dowdle projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Rico Dowdle faces the Indianapolis Colts (2% fewer than average to RBs). Rico Dowdle still wins more often despite that. Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.6 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | RB26 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | vs IND |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 26% |
| Trade value | — | — |