Javonte WilliamsorPuka Nacua?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams outscores Puka Nacua in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Puka Nacua comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Javonte Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Puka Nacua projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Javonte Williams has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (14% more than average to RBs); Puka Nacua faces the Los Angeles Chargers (9% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Puka Nacua is the pick at 57%; in Standard leagues, Javonte Williams wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.3
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 29.1
- Big game (20+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
- Floor
- 7.5
- Median
- 16.0
- Ceiling
- 29.3
- Big game (20+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.4 | 17.8 |
| PPR projection | 18.6 | 21.9 |
| Standard projection | 16.2 | 13.8 |
| Rank this week | RB3 | WR3 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.3 | 18.2 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 85% |
| Trade value | 44 | 71 |