Jeremiyah LoveorTrey McBride?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean Jeremiyah Love
Jeremiyah Love outscores Trey McBride in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Trey McBride comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jeremiyah Love, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jeremiyah Love projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jeremiyah Love has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Trey McBride faces the New York Giants (15% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Trey McBride is the pick at 55%; in Standard leagues, Jeremiyah Love wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (15+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 16.0 | 17.1 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | TE1 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 91% |
| Trade value | 25 | 43 |