Josh JacobsorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 66% of simulations.
Tetairoa McMillan still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Josh Jacobs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Jacobs projects 4.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Jacobs faces the New England Patriots (13% fewer than average to RBs), Tetairoa McMillan faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Josh Jacobs wins 73%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 16.1 | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | 13.1 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | Not ranked | Not ranked |
| Matchup | at NE | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.9 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 71% | 89% |
| Trade value | 38 | 19 |