Ladd McConkeyorMichael Wilson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Ladd McConkey in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ladd McConkey comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Ladd McConkey has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (21% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 10.2 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR25 | WR19 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.2 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.2 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | 17 |