Marvin Harrison Jr.orTory Horton?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores Tory Horton in 57% of simulations.

Tory Horton still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Marvin Harrison Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Denver Broncos (19% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Marvin Harrison Jr.
Floor
2.0
Median
6.1
Ceiling
13.6
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
49%
Tory Horton
Floor
1.2
Median
5.1
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
58%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatMarvin Harrison Jr.WR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ETTory HortonWR, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.26.4
PPR projection8.57.1
Standard projection5.95.6
Rank this weekWR41WR44
Matchupat JAXat DEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.36.7
Last season per game8.97.3
Snap share, last game65%17%
Trade value——