Mike Washington Jr.orTy Johnson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Mike Washington Jr.
Mike Washington Jr. outscores Ty Johnson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ty Johnson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mike Washington Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mike Washington Jr. projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Mike Washington Jr. has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (2% more than average to RBs); Ty Johnson faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Mike Washington Jr. wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 71%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 9.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike Washington Jr.RB, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| PPR projection | 5.0 | 5.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Rank this week | RB39 | RB41 |
| Matchup | at SF | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 60% | 24% |
| Trade value | — | — |