Nico CollinsorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rhamondre Stevenson comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Nico Collins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to RBs); Nico Collins faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Nico Collins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.4 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.5 | 13.4 |
| Standard projection | 9.2 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | RB15 |
| Matchup | at LAC | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.7 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 77% |
| Trade value | 24 | 13 |