Brock BowersorJavonte Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end or running back.
Our call
Start Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams outscores Brock Bowers in 57% of simulations.
Brock Bowers still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Javonte Williams has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs); Brock Bowers faces the Seattle Seahawks (10% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Brock Bowers is the pick at 51%; in Standard leagues, Javonte Williams wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (15+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 5):
- 10%
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 16.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | RB8 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 16.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 14.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 72% |
| Trade value | 53 | 44 |