Brock BowersorJustin Jefferson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson outscores Brock Bowers in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Justin Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Justin Jefferson projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Justin Jefferson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (8% more than average to WRs); Brock Bowers faces the Los Angeles Rams (19% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Big game (15+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 5):
- 17%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.9 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR17 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.1 | 13.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 89% |
| Trade value | 35 | 18 |