Brock BowersorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end or running back.
Our call
Lean Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores Brock Bowers in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Quinshon Judkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Quinshon Judkins has the better matchup against the New York Jets (31% more than average to RBs); Brock Bowers faces the New England Patriots (14% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Brock Bowers is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 15.7 | 14.4 |
| Standard projection | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | RB10 |
| Matchup | at NE | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.1 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 66% |
| Trade value | 50 | 12 |