CeeDee LamborKyren Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores Kyren Williams in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean CeeDee Lamb, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. CeeDee Lamb projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Kyren Williams has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs); CeeDee Lamb faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% fewer than average to WRs). CeeDee Lamb still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Kyren Williams is the pick at 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 19.2 | 16.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.4 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | RB9 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 64% |
| Trade value | 55 | 37 |