Christian WatsonorTrey McBride?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Christian Watson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Christian Watson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Trey McBride projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Trey McBride has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs); Christian Watson faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Christian Watson is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 15.0 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 10.7 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | TE2 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.9 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 83% |
| Trade value | 45 | 42 |