D'Andre SwiftorGarrett Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Garrett Wilson in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Garrett Wilson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. D'Andre Swift projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: D'Andre Swift faces the Atlanta Falcons (5% fewer than average to RBs), Garrett Wilson faces the New England Patriots (4% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 14.3 | 15.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.8 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | WR14 |
| Matchup | at ATL | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 14.2 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 93% |
| Trade value | 30 | 31 |