DeMario DouglasorGarrett Wilson?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson outscores DeMario Douglas in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: DeMario Douglas comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (14% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that. Garrett Wilson is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeMario Douglas
Floor
1.7
Median
7.2
Ceiling
18.9
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
42%
Garrett Wilson
Floor
0.0
Median
8.6
Ceiling
19.2
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
34%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ETGarrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.19.8
PPR projection10.812.1
Standard projection7.57.6
Rank this weekWR26WR24
Matchupat DETvs BUF
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game9.011.5
Last season per game5.011.6
Snap share, last game68%81%
Trade value—15