George KittleorNico Collins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores George Kittle in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: George Kittle comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Nico Collins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Nico Collins projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Nico Collins faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs), George Kittle faces the Dallas Cowboys (7% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 5):
- 17%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.3
- Ceiling
- 20.1
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.2 | 11.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.8 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR16 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 12.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 73% |
| Trade value | 27 | 28 |