Jahmyr GibbsorJa'Marr Chase?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ja'Marr Chase comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jahmyr Gibbs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Ja'Marr Chase has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (1% more than average to WRs); Jahmyr Gibbs faces the New England Patriots (15% fewer than average to RBs). Jahmyr Gibbs still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jahmyr Gibbs wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 34.4
- Big game (20+):
- 41%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 32.3
- Big game (20+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.3 | 18.5 |
| PPR projection | 21.1 | 22.4 |
| Standard projection | 17.5 | 14.5 |
| Rank this week | RB2 | WR3 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 24.0 | 16.6 |
| Last season per game | 19.3 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 84% |
| Trade value | 100 | 81 |