Jonathan TaylororPuka Nacua?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor outscores Puka Nacua in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Puka Nacua comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jonathan Taylor, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonathan Taylor projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jonathan Taylor faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (4% fewer than average to RBs), Puka Nacua faces the Buffalo Bills (average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Puka Nacua is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, Jonathan Taylor wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Big game (20+):
- 41%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 31.2
- Big game (20+):
- 36%
- Dud (under 6):
- 5%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.4 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 20.6 | 22.7 |
| Standard projection | 18.2 | 14.9 |
| Rank this week | RB2 | WR2 |
| Matchup | at PIT | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.3 | 16.6 |
| Last season per game | 20.0 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 71% | 90% |
| Trade value | 83 | 80 |