Ja'Marr ChaseorJonathan Taylor?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Jonathan Taylor in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jonathan Taylor comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Ja'Marr Chase, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ja'Marr Chase projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Ja'Marr Chase has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (11% more than average to WRs); Jonathan Taylor faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ja'Marr Chase wins 58%; in Standard leagues, Jonathan Taylor is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.2
- Median
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 30.3
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 14.8
- Ceiling
- 29.7
- Big game (20+):
- 31%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.0 | 16.7 |
| PPR projection | 20.8 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 13.2 | 15.6 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | RB5 |
| Matchup | at BAL | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.3 | 18.5 |
| Last season per game | 15.7 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 78% |
| Trade value | 45 | 61 |