Javonte WilliamsorMalik Nabers?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Start Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams outscores Malik Nabers in 56% of simulations.

Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Javonte Williams faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs), Malik Nabers faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Javonte Williams wins 51%; in Standard leagues, Javonte Williams wins 63%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Javonte Williams
Floor
6.9
Median
13.8
Ceiling
25.4
Big game (20+):
23%
Dud (under 6):
7%
Malik Nabers
Floor
3.5
Median
12.0
Ceiling
28.5
Big game (20+):
24%
Dud (under 6):
22%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJavonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETMalik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection15.014.6
PPR projection16.117.9
Standard projection13.911.3
Rank this weekRB8WR6
Matchupat INDat PHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game15.913.8
Last season per game14.112.0
Snap share, last game74%73%
Trade value3543