Malik NabersorSam LaPorta?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Start Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Malik Nabers in 56% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Sam LaPorta is the better bet, not a sure thing. Sam LaPorta projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (34% more than average to TEs); Malik Nabers faces the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (15+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 14.6 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | TE4 |
| Matchup | at WAS | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 11.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 79% |
| Trade value | 16 | 22 |